• Working Paper  Open Access

      Stochastic debt sustainability analysis for sovereigns and the scope for optimization modeling 

      Consiglio, Andrea; Zenios, Stavros A. (The Wharton Financial Institutions Center. The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, PA., 2017-05)
      We express the opinion that sovereign debt sustainability analysis must be augmented by stochastic correlated risk factors and a risk measure to capture tail effects. Crisis situations can thus be adequately specified and ...