• Working Paper  Open Access

      Contingent convertible bonds for sovereign debt risk management 

      Consiglio, Andrea; Zenios, Stavros A. (The Wharton Financial Institutions Center. The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, PA., 2015-11)
      We consider convertible bonds that contractually stipulate payment standstill, contingent on a market indicator of a sovereign's creditworthiness breaching a distress threshold. This financial innovation limits ex-ante the ...
    • Working Paper  Open Access

      Pricing and Hedging GDP-Linked Bonds in Incomplete Markets 

      Consiglio, Andrea; Zenios, Stavros A. (The Wharton Financial Institutions Center. The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, PA, 2017-09)
      We model the super-replication of payoffs linked to a country's GDP as a stochastic linear program on a discrete time and state-space scenario tree to price GDP-linked bonds. As a byproduct of the model, we obtain a hedging ...
    • Working Paper  Open Access

      Pricing sovereign contingent convertible debt 

      Consiglio, Andrea; Tumminello, Michele; Zenios, Stavros A. (The Wharton Financial Institutions Center. The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, PA., 2017-11)
      We develop a pricing model for sovereign contingent convertible bonds (S-CoCo) with payment standstills triggered by a sovereign's credit default swap CDS spread. One innovation is the modeling of CDS spread regime switching ...
    • Working Paper  Open Access

      Risk management optimization for sovereign debt restructuring 

      Consiglio, Andrea; Zenios, Stavros A. (Journal of Globalization and Development, Vol. 6(2), pp. 181–213, Feb. 2016.; The Wharton School Financial Institutions Centre No. 14-10., 2015-12)
      Debt restructuring is one of the policy tools available for resolving sovereign debt crises and, while unorthodox, it is not uncommon. We propose a scenario analysis for debt sustainability and integrate it with scenario ...