Browsing by Subject "Sovereign debt"
Now showing items 1-5 of 5
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Working Paper Open Access
Pricing sovereign contingent convertible debt
(The Wharton Financial Institutions Center. The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, PA., 2017-11)We develop a pricing model for sovereign contingent convertible bonds (S-CoCo) with payment standstills triggered by a sovereign's credit default swap CDS spread. One innovation is the modeling of CDS spread regime switching ...
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Working Paper Open Access
Risk management for sovereign financing within a debt sustainability framework
(European Stability Mechanism Working Paper No. 31, 2018-09)The mix of instruments used to finance a sovereign is a key determinant of debt sustainability through its effect on funding costs and risks. We extend standard debt sustainability analysis to incorporate debt-financing ...
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Working Paper Open Access
Risk management optimization for sovereign debt restructuring
(Journal of Globalization and Development, Vol. 6(2), pp. 181–213, Feb. 2016.; The Wharton School Financial Institutions Centre No. 14-10., 2015-12)Debt restructuring is one of the policy tools available for resolving sovereign debt crises and, while unorthodox, it is not uncommon. We propose a scenario analysis for debt sustainability and integrate it with scenario ...
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Working Paper Open Access
State Contingent Debt as Insurance for Euro-Area Sovereigns
(2018-04)The euro-area sovereign debt crisis is receding. Europe is on a recovery path, growth is broad-based and unemployment is falling. One after the other, countries hit hardest by the crisis are exiting their adjustment ...
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Working Paper Open Access
Stochastic debt sustainability analysis for sovereigns and the scope for optimization modeling
(The Wharton Financial Institutions Center. The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, PA., 2017-05)We express the opinion that sovereign debt sustainability analysis must be augmented by stochastic correlated risk factors and a risk measure to capture tail effects. Crisis situations can thus be adequately specified and ...