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Browsing by Subject "Economic policy uncertainty"

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    • Article  

      Does economic policy uncertainty forecast real housing returns in a panel of OECD countries? A Bayesian approach 

      Christou, Christina; Gupta, Rangan; Hassapis, Christis (2017)
      This paper investigates whether the news-based measure of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) could help in forecasting the real housing returns in ten (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, The Netherlands, South Korea, ...

    • Article  

      Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns in PacificRim countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian panel VAR model 

      Christou, Christina; Cunado, Juncal; Gupta, Rangan; Hassapis, Christis (2017)
      This paper examines the role of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on stock market returns for six countries (Australia, Canada, China, Japan, Korea and the US), based on a panel VAR model estimated using stochastic search ...

    • Working Paper  Open Access

      A Political Capital Asset Pricing Model 

      Pagliardi, Giovanni; Poncet, Patrice; Zenios, Stavros A. (The Wharton Financial Institutions Center. The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, PA, 2019-03)
      We construct a bivariate factor of political stability and economic policy confidence, and show that it commands a significant premium of up to 15% per annum, in the global, developed, and emerging markets, robust to ICAPM, ...

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