On-Street and off-street parking availability prediction using multivariate spatiotemporal models

Abstract

Parking guidance and information (PGI) systems are becoming important parts of intelligent transportation systems due to the fact that cars and infrastructure are becoming more and more connected. One major challenge in developing efficient PGI systems is the uncertain nature of parking availability in parking facilities (both on-street and off-street). A reliable PGI system should have the capability of predicting the availability of parking at the arrival time with reliable accuracy. In this paper, we study the nature of the parking availability data in a big city and propose a multivariate autoregressive model that takes into account both temporal and spatial correlations of parking availability. The model is used to predict parking availability with high accuracy. The prediction errors are used to recommend the parking location with the highest probability of having at least one parking spot available at the estimated arrival time. The results are demonstrated using real-time parking data in the areas of San Francisco and Los Angeles. © 2000-2011 IEEE.